Party Name Seats (Current) Seats Change Percentage (Current) Percentage Change Majority Probability Minority Probability
Liberal 183 +23 43.6% +11% 70.5% 15.7%
Conservative 138 +19 43.2% +9.5% 5.7% 8.1%
Bloc 14 -18 3.5% -4.1% 0% 0%
New Democrat 6 -19 6.2% -11.6% N/A N/A
  • Avid Amoeba@lemmy.caOP
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    9 days ago

    Well this spike doesn’t look too good. I can’t see confirmation for such a bump in Nanos. I hope it’s a fluke. 😂

          • Avid Amoeba@lemmy.caOP
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            9 days ago

            On Friday night, in two Ottawa bars, campaign workers shared how the party was behind this move — two Liberal Party staffers attended the conference intended for conservatives and placed these buttons in areas where attendees would find them.

            At the pub D’Arcy McGee’s near Parliament Hill, a number of Liberal war room staffers met for drinks on the far side of the bar. This journalist joined one of them for a quick conversation, but heard another staffer, who had previously identified himself as being involved in opposition research, describing how he and a colleague planted the buttons.

            🤦 🤦‍♀️🤦‍♂️

            But yeah, the story is from April 13th so it’s unlikely to be reflected in the polls. Plus given the attitudes at the moment, I doubt people who’d vote Lib would decide not to vote Lib based on this.

            • n2burns@lemmy.ca
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              8 days ago

              ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Personally, I don’t think it’ll have a large impact, but I honestly don’t know.

          • philbgarner@lemmy.ca
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            8 days ago

            I believe this won’t hurt as much as people assume. It might actually break through conservative users’ media bubble a little bit because their algorithm is going to push this story down their throats as rage-bait but it also brings to their attention the real divide in the Conservative party currently. Something that might not have reached their eyes otherwise.

            It’s probably a dumb mistake by overly eager staffers, but I can’t shake the feeling that this is somewhat calculated.

          • Avid Amoeba@lemmy.caOP
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            9 days ago

            And apparently yapped about it in a pub… amateur hour. 🤡

            I can just imagine PP’s wailing about this.